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Red5
31021.1
30360.9
8761.5
Blue3
30421.2
8771.4
25290.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#9
1.50.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
877
#37
1.40.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.3
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3042
#32
1.20.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3036
#39
0.90.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2529
#54
0.80.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End