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Red6
32021.1
32940.5
30580.7
Blue2
25350.9
25261.0
33670.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12034567862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3202
#17
1.10.4
0.71.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2526
#46
1.00.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3058
#58
0.70.4
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2535
#49
0.90.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3294
#18
0.50.4
0.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3367
#42
0.80.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End