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Red3
31971.6
30260.4
25310.6
Blue2
21750.4
26671.2
24180.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#26
1.60.0
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2667
#33
1.20.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2531
#45
0.60.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
0.80.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3026
#28
0.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2175
#29
0.40.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End