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Red3
30260.4
29770.6
21290.5
Blue4
31350.7
30180.6
31021.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130234567834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2977
#59
0.60.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1.10.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2129
#27
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3135
#53
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3026
#28
0.40.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3018
#30
0.60.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End