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Red5
22390.5
32930.9
32900.3
Blue1
31301.0
32940.5
25610.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions024681051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3293
#16
0.90.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3130
#38
1.00.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2239
#63
0.50.4
0.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3294
#18
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3290
#56
0.30.4
-0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2561
#51
0.20.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End