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Red5
25251.2
28262.1
25112.0
Blue6
27051.9
24980.9
20221.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions540268101256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2705
#14
1.90.0
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.00.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1.50.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2525
#26
1.20.0
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2498
#37
0.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End