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Red4
20623.2
24980.9
24701.1
Blue5
28262.1
29870.3
32271.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410268101245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.20.0
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2.10.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2470
#39
1.10.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3227
#27
1.30.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2498
#37
0.90.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2987
#61
0.30.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End