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Red1
25080.7
22270.9
25451.0
Blue3
32271.3
24980.9
21692.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130246813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2545
#38
1.00.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2.00.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2227
#48
0.90.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3227
#27Sur
1.30.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2508
#50Sur
0.70.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2498
#37
0.90.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End