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Red4
22640.9
20221.5
25181.2
Blue5
28790.6
32970.7
20623.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.50.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
3.20.1
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2518
#44
1.20.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3297
#36
0.70.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2264
#60
0.90.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2879
#45
0.60.2
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End