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Red4
30381.4
28470.9
32441.6
Blue6
17143.9
25030.8
25131.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140268101246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3244
#17
1.60.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3.90.1
2.83.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3038
#24
1.40.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2513
#16
1.40.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2847
#58
0.90.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2503
#21
0.80.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End