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Red5
25091.1
28450.0
5254.0
Blue1
32990.9
28550.8
29870.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410268101251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
4.00.1
2.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3299
#20
0.90.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2509
#18
1.10.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2855
#62
0.80.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2845
#42
0.00.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2987
#61
0.30.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End