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Red5
25000.8
21942.3
25131.4
Blue4
22270.9
32271.3
32761.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4102681054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#22
2.30.1
1.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3276
#49
1.40.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2513
#16
1.40.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3227
#27
1.30.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2500
#11
0.80.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2227
#48
0.90.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End