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Red4
20221.5
25151.0
28611.6
Blue7
22321.9
25131.4
31841.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320468101247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2861
#23
1.60.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2232
#13
1.90.4
0.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.50.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2513
#16
1.40.4
1.01.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2515
#54
1.00.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3184
#41
1.00.4
0.20.6
Auto
Teleop
End