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Red0
29890.6
25451.0
25020.6
Blue2
20623.2
28460.5
28611.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140268101202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2545
#38
1.00.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
3.20.1
2.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2989
#43
0.60.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
2861
#23
1.60.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2502
#51
0.60.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2846
#52
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End