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Red3
25010.1
25131.4
20623.2
Blue4
21811.1
24910.7
21692.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions530246810121434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.20.1
2.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2.00.0
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2513
#16
1.40.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2181
#31
1.10.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2501
#55
0.10.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2491
#29
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End