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Red0
20520.3
28250.5
32970.7
Blue1
25091.1
25000.8
25151.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#36
0.70.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2509
#18
1.10.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2825
#47
0.50.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2515
#54
1.00.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2052
#57
0.30.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2500
#11
0.80.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End