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Red0
32121.1
29870.3
28790.6
Blue4
25000.8
27051.9
25010.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101122334404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.10.9
1.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2705
#14
1.90.2
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2879
#45
0.60.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2500
#11
0.80.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2987
#61
0.30.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2501
#55
0.10.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End