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Red4
32990.9
27051.9
24910.7
Blue3
22640.9
25020.6
27042.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340268101243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2705
#14
1.90.1
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2704
#10
2.20.0
2.32.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3299
#20
0.90.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2264
#60
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2491
#29
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2502
#51
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End