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Red13
17143.9
20623.2
30381.4
Blue9
28262.1
25112.0
25131.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9401015139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.90.1
3.93.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2.10.1
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3.20.1
3.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2.00.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3038
#24
1.40.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2513
#16
1.40.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End