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Red1
22190.3
20140.7
31861.5
Blue4
11822.1
17061.5
19851.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1203456714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.51.0
1.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2.10.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2014
#19
0.70.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1.50.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2219
#25
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1985
#11
1.10.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End