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Red3
11780.5
17061.5
9311.1
Blue4
29781.3
27753.4
33971.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.50.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3.40.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
931
#20
1.10.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2978
#10
1.30.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1178
#29
0.50.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1.30.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End