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Red0
29020.1
24570.5
11780.5
Blue3
24080.8
19851.1
28381.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013456703

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2457
#30
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2838
#21
1.60.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1178
#29
0.50.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1985
#11
1.10.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2902
#35
0.10.1
0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2408
#14
0.80.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End