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Red4
31861.5
9311.1
28930.0
Blue4
18062.4
22190.3
16580.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
931
#20
1.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1658
#15
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2893
#28
0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2219
#25
0.3
Auto
Teleop
End