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Red4
12881.9
27753.4
24080.8
Blue1
13290.9
22190.3
34101.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430268101241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.40.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3410
#18
1.30.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1288
#12
1.90.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1329
#32
0.90.2
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2408
#14
0.80.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2219
#25
0.30.2
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End