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Red3
21771.1
29781.3
31861.5
Blue2
32841.2
17560.9
11780.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4302681032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.50.0
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3284
#16
1.20.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2978
#10
1.30.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1756
#17
0.90.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2177
#34
1.10.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1178
#29
0.50.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End