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Red1
29781.3
22190.3
11780.5
Blue10
12083.6
21640.8
28381.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2504681012110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2978
#10
1.30.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3.60.3
3.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1178
#29
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2838
#21
1.60.3
1.31.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2219
#25
0.30.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2164
#26
0.80.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End