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Red5
17560.9
16580.7
33971.3
Blue4
21771.1
11822.1
28930.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23014567854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.30.2
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2.10.1
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1756
#17
0.90.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2177
#34
1.10.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1658
#15
0.70.2
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2893
#28
0.00.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End