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Qual 632010 St. Louis Regional
Red1
32841.2
22190.3
19851.1
Blue4
16580.7
29781.3
2790.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420681014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#16
1.20.2
1.5→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
2978
#10
1.30.1
1.2→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1985
#11
1.10.2
1.4→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
279
#27
0.80.1
0.8→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2219
#25
0.30.2
0.5→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
1658
#15
0.70.1
0.5→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—