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Red3
12881.9
14480.5
2790.8
Blue4
28381.6
5011.7
22190.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#12
1.90.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
501
#6
1.70.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
279
#27
0.80.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2838
#21
1.60.2
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1448
#22
0.50.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2219
#25
0.30.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End