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Red3
33300.4
6242.1
18062.4
Blue0
29020.1
19851.1
17560.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320124567830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1985
#11
1.10.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
624
#13
2.10.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1756
#17
0.90.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3330
#24
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2902
#35
0.10.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End