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Red4
210.7
3371.9
1221.6
Blue6
13191.1
24831.5
33361.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions440268101246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#12
1.90.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3336
#19
1.50.1
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
122
#3
1.60.0
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1.50.0
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
21
#24
0.70.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1319
#25
1.10.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End