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Red5
15330.3
10863.5
26421.0
Blue4
18111.0
4490.7
17722.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430268101254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.50.1
2.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2.50.1
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2642
#15
1.00.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1811
#21
1.00.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1533
#39
0.30.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
449
#9
0.70.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End