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Red1
4490.7
24151.7
3196-0.0
Blue8
33361.5
31850.4
19022.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#16
1.70.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1902
#11
2.70.3
1.92.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
449
#9
0.70.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3336
#19
1.50.5
0.61.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3196
#43
-0.00.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3185
#35
0.40.5
-0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End