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Qual 552010 North Carolina Regional
Red4
10863.5
33361.5
26400.2
Blue1
21080.8
12491.4
24831.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5402681012141641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#1
3.50.0
3.3→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.1
2483
#6
1.50.1
1.3→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3336
#19
1.50.1
1.3→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
1249
#23
1.40.1
1.5→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2640
#28
0.20.1
0.2→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
2108
#41
0.80.1
1.1→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—