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Red4
34020.8
5390.3
33361.5
Blue2
33940.4
13191.1
9000.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3336
#19
1.50.1
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1319
#25
1.10.0
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3402
#10
0.80.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
900
#29
0.90.0
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
539
#40
0.30.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3394
#26
0.40.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End