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Qual 632010 North Carolina Regional
Red3
4490.7
19022.7
33460.8
Blue5
3791.3
4011.6
15193.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4602810121435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#11
2.70.1
2.5→2.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
1519
#2
3.10.0
3.1→3.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3346
#36
0.80.1
0.9→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
401
#34
1.60.0
1.5→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
449
#9
0.70.1
0.7→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
379
#8
1.30.0
1.2→1.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—