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Red2
24651.9
26380.9
31681.7
Blue6
6470.4
5254.4
3373.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4905152026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2465
#42
1.90.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
525
#17
4.40.1
4.74.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3168
#22
1.70.1
1.81.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
337
#13
3.30.1
3.02.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2638
#79
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
647
#68
0.40.1
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End