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Red7
27572.0
32310.5
5254.4
Blue11
30830.6
10732.9
19224.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7724681012711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#17
4.40.0
4.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
4.40.2
4.04.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.00.0
1.71.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1073
#23
2.90.2
2.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3231
#58
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3083
#36
0.60.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End