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Red11
28950.3
25061.6
17186.2
Blue4
1511.6
14521.1
31611.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84051015114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6.20.2
6.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
3161
#52
1.70.0
1.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2506
#67
1.60.2
1.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
151
#60
1.60.0
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2895
#80
0.30.2
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1452
#72
1.10.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End