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Red5
3420.7
12083.8
21641.0
Blue6
18683.3
6121.4
5331.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions662481056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#32
3.80.0
3.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1868
#10
3.30.0
3.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2164
#78
1.00.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
612
#55
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
342
#81
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
533
#66
1.20.0
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End