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Red4
30381.9
6470.4
1772.8
Blue2
14521.1
8960.3
7721.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5302468101242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#41
2.80.1
2.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
772
#62
1.50.1
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3038
#37
1.90.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1452
#72
1.10.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
647
#68
0.40.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
896
#85
0.30.1
0.1-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End