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Red5
15192.7
10581.7
10732.4
Blue3
2411.4
3190.7
5621.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions630281012141653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
2.70.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
562
Unranked
1.60.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
Unranked
2.40.0
2.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
241
Unranked
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1058
Unranked
1.70.0
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
319
Unranked
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End