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Red5
1262.8
401.8
23860.3
Blue3
12770.5
1511.5
1751.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5402810121453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
2.80.0
2.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
175
Unranked
1.70.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
40
Unranked
1.80.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
151
Unranked
1.50.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2386
Unranked
0.30.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1277
Unranked
0.50.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End