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Red0
11000.5
31320.3
12770.5
Blue2
18310.6
1381.4
1341.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13046810121402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
Unranked
0.50.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
138
Unranked
1.40.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1277
Unranked
0.50.1
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
134
Unranked
1.00.0
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3132
Unranked
0.30.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1831
Unranked
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End