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Red4
1211.6
15170.7
17291.3
Blue2
5621.6
10581.7
23860.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32046810121442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
Unranked
1.60.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1058
Unranked
1.70.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1729
Unranked
1.30.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
562
Unranked
1.60.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1517
Unranked
0.70.1
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2386
Unranked
0.30.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End