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Red2
23420.7
1311.2
11000.5
Blue1
401.8
15120.8
1660.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
Unranked
1.20.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
40
Unranked
1.80.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2342
Unranked
0.70.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1512
Unranked
0.80.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1100
Unranked
0.50.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
166
Unranked
0.50.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End