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Red6
1262.8
10581.7
17210.4
Blue1
12890.4
14931.6
12770.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2104681061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
2.80.3
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1493
Unranked
1.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1058
Unranked
1.70.3
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1277
Unranked
0.50.0
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1721
Unranked
0.40.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1289
Unranked
0.40.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End