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Red4
1330.9
31260.7
2382.4
Blue1
23420.7
1660.5
1751.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1302468101241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
Unranked
2.40.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
175
Unranked
1.70.1
1.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
133
Unranked
0.90.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2342
Unranked
0.70.1
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3126
Unranked
0.70.1
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
166
Unranked
0.50.1
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End