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Red4
201.6
3190.7
31260.7
Blue1
2411.4
581.2
17291.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32012345641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
Unranked
1.60.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
241
Unranked
1.40.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
319
Unranked
0.70.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1729
Unranked
1.30.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3126
Unranked
0.70.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
58
Unranked
1.20.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End