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Red4
1751.7
1511.5
31320.3
Blue8
1381.4
1211.6
1262.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3502468101248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
1.70.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
126
Unranked
2.80.3
1.72.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
151
Unranked
1.50.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
121
Unranked
1.60.3
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3132
Unranked
0.30.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
138
Unranked
1.40.3
1.01.3
Auto
Teleop
End